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.Overlaid on the map were thirty distinctive yellow and black emblems denoting radioactive materials placed at locations of known nuclear facilities.“The Iranians have ten plants capable of manufacturing weapons-grade uranium,” he said, using a laser pointer to indicate the various sites.“And an additional four where the uranium can be fitted to a warhead.The sites most crucial to their efforts are at Natanz, Esfahan, and Bushehr.And, of course, the newly discovered facility at Chalus.For a first strike to succeed, we must destroy all of them.”“Four isn’t enough,” said a quiet voice.“Excuse me, Danny,” said Hirsch.“You’ll have to speak louder.”“Four isn’t enough.” General Danny Ganz, Air Force Chief of Staff and leader of the newly created Iran Command, charged with all planning and operations involving an attack on the Islamic Republic, stood from his chair.Ganz was a wiry man and restless, with a hawk’s nose and hooded brown eyes.Years of combat and conflict had etched deep wrinkles around his eyes and into his forehead.He approached the map.“If we want to lock down Iran’s nuclear efforts, we have to take out at least twenty, including the facility at Chalus.It won’t be easy.The targets are spread out all over the country.We’re not talking about single buildings, either.These are massive complexes.Take Natanz here in the center of the country.” Ganz rapped his knuckles against the map.“The complex is spread out over ten square kilometers.Dozens of buildings, factories, and warehouses.But size is only half the problem.Most of the crucial production facilities have been built at least twenty-five feet underground beneath layers of hardened concrete.”“But can you do it?” demanded the prime minister.Ganz fought to conceal his contempt.It wasn’t so long ago that the prime minister had been a vocal peacenik calling for the halt of all new settlements on the West Bank.To his mind, the PM was a turncoat, and just shy of a traitor.But then, he had the same opinion about most politicians.“Before we talk about striking the target, we have to figure out how we’re going to get there,” he went on.“From our southernmost airfields, it’s eight hundred miles to Natanz and a thousand miles to Chalus.To reach both sites, we have to overfly Jordan, Saudi Arabia, or Iraq.I don’t think we can count on the first two countries granting us permission to violate their airspace…which leaves Iraq.”Ganz looked to the prime minister for comment.“I’ll talk to the Americans at the appropriate moment,” said the PM.“That moment passed a few hours ago,” commented Zvi Hirsch out of the corner of his mouth.The prime minister ignored the jibe.He directed his question at Ganz.“What about our planes? Are they up to the task?”“Our F-15l’s can make the return trip, but our F-16’s are another question,” said Ganz.“They’ll need refueling en route.Iran has no air force to speak of, but they do have radar.Over the past few years, they’ve made big purchases of Russian-made ground-to-air missile systems.At Natanz, for example, the missile sites are to the north, east, and south of the complex.We’ll have to accept a high casualty rate going in.”“How high?” asked Zvi Hirsch.“Forty percent.” Ganz crossed his arms as a rustle of outrage and disappointment rose from the others.He wanted to make sure everyone present knew the price asked of his men.“My God,” said the prime minister.“It’s hard to dodge missiles when you’re delivering a bomb to target,” said Ganz.“What about a preemptive strike to soften up the air defenses?” asked Hirsch.“Not enough planes.” Ganz cleared his voice and went on.“If we want to sufficiently degrade the targets, we’ll have to strike repeatedly.And I mean right on top of their heads.I’ll need precise GPS coordinates of the production facilities.I know what you’re all thinking.We did it before.We can do it again.I’m sorry, gentlemen.But this will not be a repeat of Opera.”Ganz was referring to Operation Opera, the surprise airborne strike launched against the Osirak nuclear plant near Baghdad on June 7,1981.On that day, fifteen Israeli aircraft flew from Etzion Air Base across Jordan and Saudi Arabia and destroyed Saddam Hussein’s maiden nuclear effort [ Pobierz całość w formacie PDF ]
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.Overlaid on the map were thirty distinctive yellow and black emblems denoting radioactive materials placed at locations of known nuclear facilities.“The Iranians have ten plants capable of manufacturing weapons-grade uranium,” he said, using a laser pointer to indicate the various sites.“And an additional four where the uranium can be fitted to a warhead.The sites most crucial to their efforts are at Natanz, Esfahan, and Bushehr.And, of course, the newly discovered facility at Chalus.For a first strike to succeed, we must destroy all of them.”“Four isn’t enough,” said a quiet voice.“Excuse me, Danny,” said Hirsch.“You’ll have to speak louder.”“Four isn’t enough.” General Danny Ganz, Air Force Chief of Staff and leader of the newly created Iran Command, charged with all planning and operations involving an attack on the Islamic Republic, stood from his chair.Ganz was a wiry man and restless, with a hawk’s nose and hooded brown eyes.Years of combat and conflict had etched deep wrinkles around his eyes and into his forehead.He approached the map.“If we want to lock down Iran’s nuclear efforts, we have to take out at least twenty, including the facility at Chalus.It won’t be easy.The targets are spread out all over the country.We’re not talking about single buildings, either.These are massive complexes.Take Natanz here in the center of the country.” Ganz rapped his knuckles against the map.“The complex is spread out over ten square kilometers.Dozens of buildings, factories, and warehouses.But size is only half the problem.Most of the crucial production facilities have been built at least twenty-five feet underground beneath layers of hardened concrete.”“But can you do it?” demanded the prime minister.Ganz fought to conceal his contempt.It wasn’t so long ago that the prime minister had been a vocal peacenik calling for the halt of all new settlements on the West Bank.To his mind, the PM was a turncoat, and just shy of a traitor.But then, he had the same opinion about most politicians.“Before we talk about striking the target, we have to figure out how we’re going to get there,” he went on.“From our southernmost airfields, it’s eight hundred miles to Natanz and a thousand miles to Chalus.To reach both sites, we have to overfly Jordan, Saudi Arabia, or Iraq.I don’t think we can count on the first two countries granting us permission to violate their airspace…which leaves Iraq.”Ganz looked to the prime minister for comment.“I’ll talk to the Americans at the appropriate moment,” said the PM.“That moment passed a few hours ago,” commented Zvi Hirsch out of the corner of his mouth.The prime minister ignored the jibe.He directed his question at Ganz.“What about our planes? Are they up to the task?”“Our F-15l’s can make the return trip, but our F-16’s are another question,” said Ganz.“They’ll need refueling en route.Iran has no air force to speak of, but they do have radar.Over the past few years, they’ve made big purchases of Russian-made ground-to-air missile systems.At Natanz, for example, the missile sites are to the north, east, and south of the complex.We’ll have to accept a high casualty rate going in.”“How high?” asked Zvi Hirsch.“Forty percent.” Ganz crossed his arms as a rustle of outrage and disappointment rose from the others.He wanted to make sure everyone present knew the price asked of his men.“My God,” said the prime minister.“It’s hard to dodge missiles when you’re delivering a bomb to target,” said Ganz.“What about a preemptive strike to soften up the air defenses?” asked Hirsch.“Not enough planes.” Ganz cleared his voice and went on.“If we want to sufficiently degrade the targets, we’ll have to strike repeatedly.And I mean right on top of their heads.I’ll need precise GPS coordinates of the production facilities.I know what you’re all thinking.We did it before.We can do it again.I’m sorry, gentlemen.But this will not be a repeat of Opera.”Ganz was referring to Operation Opera, the surprise airborne strike launched against the Osirak nuclear plant near Baghdad on June 7,1981.On that day, fifteen Israeli aircraft flew from Etzion Air Base across Jordan and Saudi Arabia and destroyed Saddam Hussein’s maiden nuclear effort [ Pobierz całość w formacie PDF ]