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. Good, said Seldon thoughtfully.Dors smiled at him. There s a bit of your psychohistory, Hari.Rule number47, 854: The downtrodden are more religious than the satisfied. Seldon shook his head. Don t joke about psychohistory, Dors.You know I m notlooking for tiny rules but for vast generalizations and for means ofmanipulation.I don t want comparative religiosity as the result of a hundredspecific rules.I want something from which I can, after manipulation throughsome system of mathematicized logic, say, Aha, this group of people will tendto be more religious thanthat group, provided that the following criteria are met, and that, therefore,when humanity meets with these stimuli, it will react with these responses. How horrible, said Dors. You are picturing human beings as simplemechanical devices.Press this button and you will get that twitch. No, because there will be many buttons pushing simultaneously to varyingdegrees and eliciting so many responses of different sorts that overall thepredictions of the furore will be statistical in nature, so that theindividual human being will remain a free agent. How can you know this? I can t, said Seldon. At least, I don t know it.I feel it to be so.It isPage 92 ABC Amber Palm Converter, http://www.processtext.com/abcpalm.htmlwhat I consider to be the way things ought to be.If I can find the axioms,the fundamental Laws of Humanics, so to speak, and the necessary mathematicaltreatment, then I will have my psychohistory.I have proved that, in theory,this is possible-- But impractical, right? I keep saying so. A small smile curved Dors s lips, Is that what you are doing, Hari, lookingfor some sort of solution to this problem? I don t know.I swear to you I don t know.But Chetter Hummin is so anxiousto find a solution and, for some reason, I am anxious to please him.He is sopersuasive a man. Yes, I know. Seldon let that comment pass, although a small frown flitted across his face.Seldon continued. Hummin insists the Empire is decaying, that it willcollapse, that psychohistory is the only hope for saving it--or cushioning itor ameliorating it--and that without it humanity will be destroyed or, at thevery least, go through prolonged misery.He seems to place the responsibilityfor preventing that on me.Now, the Empire will certainly last my time, but ifI m to live at ease, I must lift that responsibility from my shoulders.I mustconvince myself--and even convince Hummin-that psychohistory is not apractical way our that, despite theory, it cannot be developed.So I mustfollow up as many leads as I can and show that each one must fail. Leads? Like going back in history to a time when human society was smallerthan it is now? Much smaller.And far less complex. And showing that a solution is still impractical? Yes. But who is going to describe the early world for you? If the Mycogenians havesome coherent picture of the primordial Galaxy, Sunmaster certainly won treveal it to a tribesman.No Mycogenian will.This is an ingrown society-how many times have we already said it?--and itsmembers are suspicious of tribesmen to the point of paranoia.They ll tell usnothing. I will have to think of a way to persuade some Mycogenians to talk.ThoseSisters, for instance. They won t even bear you, male that you are, any more than Sunmaster hearsme.And even if they do talk to you, what would they know but a few catchphrases? I must start somewhere. Dors said, Well, let me think.Hummin says I must protect you and I interpretthat as meaning Imust help you when I can.What do I know about religion? That s nowhere nearmy specialty, you know.I have always dealt with economic forces, rather than philosophic forces, butyou can t split history into neat little nonoverlapping divisions.Forinstance, religions tend to accumulate wealth when successful and thateventually tends to distort the economic development of a society.There,incidentally, is one of the numerous rules of human history that you ll haveto derive from your basic Laws of Humanics or whatever you called them.But.And here, Dors s voice faded away as she lapsed into thought.Seldon watchedher cautiously and Dors s eyes glazed as though she was looking deep withinherself.Finally she said, This is not an invariable rule, but it seems to me that onmany occasions, a religion has a book--or books-of significance; books thatgive their ritual, their view of history, theirsacred poetry, and who knows what else.Usually, those books are open to alland are a means of proselytization.Sometimes they are secret. Page 93 ABC Amber Palm Converter, http://www.processtext.com/abcpalm.html Do you think Mycogen has books of that sort? To be truthful, said Dors thoughtfully, I have never heard of any.I mighthave if they existed openly-which means they either don t exist or are keptsecret.In either case, it seems to me you are not going to see them. At least it s a starting point, said Seldon grimly.42.The Sisters returned about two hours after Hari and Dors had finished lunch [ Pobierz całość w formacie PDF ]
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. Good, said Seldon thoughtfully.Dors smiled at him. There s a bit of your psychohistory, Hari.Rule number47, 854: The downtrodden are more religious than the satisfied. Seldon shook his head. Don t joke about psychohistory, Dors.You know I m notlooking for tiny rules but for vast generalizations and for means ofmanipulation.I don t want comparative religiosity as the result of a hundredspecific rules.I want something from which I can, after manipulation throughsome system of mathematicized logic, say, Aha, this group of people will tendto be more religious thanthat group, provided that the following criteria are met, and that, therefore,when humanity meets with these stimuli, it will react with these responses. How horrible, said Dors. You are picturing human beings as simplemechanical devices.Press this button and you will get that twitch. No, because there will be many buttons pushing simultaneously to varyingdegrees and eliciting so many responses of different sorts that overall thepredictions of the furore will be statistical in nature, so that theindividual human being will remain a free agent. How can you know this? I can t, said Seldon. At least, I don t know it.I feel it to be so.It isPage 92 ABC Amber Palm Converter, http://www.processtext.com/abcpalm.htmlwhat I consider to be the way things ought to be.If I can find the axioms,the fundamental Laws of Humanics, so to speak, and the necessary mathematicaltreatment, then I will have my psychohistory.I have proved that, in theory,this is possible-- But impractical, right? I keep saying so. A small smile curved Dors s lips, Is that what you are doing, Hari, lookingfor some sort of solution to this problem? I don t know.I swear to you I don t know.But Chetter Hummin is so anxiousto find a solution and, for some reason, I am anxious to please him.He is sopersuasive a man. Yes, I know. Seldon let that comment pass, although a small frown flitted across his face.Seldon continued. Hummin insists the Empire is decaying, that it willcollapse, that psychohistory is the only hope for saving it--or cushioning itor ameliorating it--and that without it humanity will be destroyed or, at thevery least, go through prolonged misery.He seems to place the responsibilityfor preventing that on me.Now, the Empire will certainly last my time, but ifI m to live at ease, I must lift that responsibility from my shoulders.I mustconvince myself--and even convince Hummin-that psychohistory is not apractical way our that, despite theory, it cannot be developed.So I mustfollow up as many leads as I can and show that each one must fail. Leads? Like going back in history to a time when human society was smallerthan it is now? Much smaller.And far less complex. And showing that a solution is still impractical? Yes. But who is going to describe the early world for you? If the Mycogenians havesome coherent picture of the primordial Galaxy, Sunmaster certainly won treveal it to a tribesman.No Mycogenian will.This is an ingrown society-how many times have we already said it?--and itsmembers are suspicious of tribesmen to the point of paranoia.They ll tell usnothing. I will have to think of a way to persuade some Mycogenians to talk.ThoseSisters, for instance. They won t even bear you, male that you are, any more than Sunmaster hearsme.And even if they do talk to you, what would they know but a few catchphrases? I must start somewhere. Dors said, Well, let me think.Hummin says I must protect you and I interpretthat as meaning Imust help you when I can.What do I know about religion? That s nowhere nearmy specialty, you know.I have always dealt with economic forces, rather than philosophic forces, butyou can t split history into neat little nonoverlapping divisions.Forinstance, religions tend to accumulate wealth when successful and thateventually tends to distort the economic development of a society.There,incidentally, is one of the numerous rules of human history that you ll haveto derive from your basic Laws of Humanics or whatever you called them.But.And here, Dors s voice faded away as she lapsed into thought.Seldon watchedher cautiously and Dors s eyes glazed as though she was looking deep withinherself.Finally she said, This is not an invariable rule, but it seems to me that onmany occasions, a religion has a book--or books-of significance; books thatgive their ritual, their view of history, theirsacred poetry, and who knows what else.Usually, those books are open to alland are a means of proselytization.Sometimes they are secret. Page 93 ABC Amber Palm Converter, http://www.processtext.com/abcpalm.html Do you think Mycogen has books of that sort? To be truthful, said Dors thoughtfully, I have never heard of any.I mighthave if they existed openly-which means they either don t exist or are keptsecret.In either case, it seems to me you are not going to see them. At least it s a starting point, said Seldon grimly.42.The Sisters returned about two hours after Hari and Dors had finished lunch [ Pobierz całość w formacie PDF ]